Election
Integrity

Was the 2004 Presidential Election Stolen? Exit Polls, Election Fraud, and the Official Count by Steven F. Freeman & Joel Bleifuss / Foreword by U.S. Representative John Conyers, Jr.

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Election Integrity Blog - All posts tagged 'election verification exit poll'
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EVEP Election Day Report

by Steven Freeman 11/6/2008 12:05:00 PM
  The Election Day Phase of the November 4 Election Verification Exit Poll 
 
Election Integrity has completed the exhaustive Election Day phase of the 2008 Election Verification Exit Poll. With the Election Defense Alliance and The Warren Poll, we conducted exit polls at 56 polling sites (about 100 precincts) in 12 states. 350 interviewers covered these precincts with extraordinary thoroughness, approaching every exiting voter in many polling places, and in many cases generating response rates upwards of 75%.

This is the strongest data ever collected both for detecting election fraud and for documenting the efficacy of exit polling. Two election officials in Ohio tried to prevent us from conducting our polls, but a legal effort led by EI general counsel Bob Fitrakis prevailed, permitting us to poll every site we selected. Some election officials refused to post the official outcomes; in at least one Florida polling site, this occurred explicitly because we had conducted our poll there. That said, most election officials were helpful and fully supportive, some even offering official support in following up any indication of a corrupted count.

The margin in the presidential election was too decisive for possible fraud to affect the outcome, but this was not true in all of Tuesday's races. Suspicious patterns were also revealed within the presidential race. We are currently analyzing the data and will post findings as they unfold. 

* * * * * * *
To all those who participated and donated, I extend our appreciation and also my congratulations. For the first time in twelve years, Americans have actually elected a president. The election integrity movement played a central role in this achievement. After a series of increasingly extreme anti-democratic elections and initiatives (e.g., HAVA and the spread of electronic voting), we may have at least mitigated the trends. But America’s election processing has hardly been fixed; nor will it be without our efforts. Whatever Obama's attributes as a politician and a man, his first act in Congress was to reject the challenge to Ohio's electors because he was "absolutely convinced" that Bush legitimately won the election. (See also The Audacity of Hope, p. 7)

So please, stay involved and/or donate so that others may continue this work. We have a mountain of high quality data that needs to be coded and analyzed. We also hope to follow up on disparities between official numbers and survey results by counting ballots and other investigative efforts. Obama may really have been America’s choice for President, but Election integrity remains no less critical an issue.

Help Needed for Nov 4 Election Verification Exit Poll

by Steven Freeman 10/26/2008 8:12:00 AM
 
Help Needed for November 4 Election Verification Exit Poll 

The Problem:

The vulnerability of US voting systems to mass scale fraud has been well documented, but little has been done to establish meaningful checks. Bad as the last few elections have been, coming elections - including this one - could be worse. Purported "improvements" such as early and mail-voting and purging of voting rolls continue to undermine election integrity and a wide variety of vote suppression augurs poorly for what we may see on November 4.

A Science-Based Solution:

One of the few ways to detect mass scale fraud under such conditions is an Election Verification Exit Poll. Such polls have been used around the world to ensure election integrity and have even been used to overturn fraudulent national elections. On November 4, Election Integrity is engaged in a two-part exit polling effort:

Our Plan:

(1) Our 3rd professional poll to determine and document the degree to which official numbers reflect how people say they have cast their ballots, to investigate any discrepancies and to establish exit polling as a meaningful verification technique (see our May primary pilot project). 


(2) a Citizens Exit Poll with the Election Defense Alliance to:
   ·  extend our ability to ascertain the veracity of official reported voting results;
   ·  detect specific indications of election fraud, which can be further investigated;
   ·  develop citizen polling as a means to detect and deter fraud; and
  
·  give citizens the tools to take control of their elections and their government.

volunteer buttonThe Election Verification Exit Poll projectdonate button

Please Support Our Efforts:

To properly prosecute these efforts, we need your help. In the end, simply pushing a button for one name or another every few years will inevitably be an empty charade. Self-government or, for that matter, good-government, can only result from active involvement and oversight. So please, volunteer or donate. Democracy depends on it.

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About Our Exit Polls: Video: Interview about exit polls and election verification * Pilot poll to test and develop methodology: Kentucky Pilot Project Report (pdf) * How to Conduct a Citizen's Exit Poll workshop (Video from the Ohio Election Protection Conference) * About Exit PollingElection Verification Exit PollsNational Election Pool (Edison/Mitofsky) Media Exit Poll 

Interviews: Guernica Magazine Interview: No Exit (Election Q&A) * Robert F Kennedy Jr:  Was the 2004 Election Stolen? (Rolling Stone) * TV (KPBS) 2004 Election Results Questioned * Radio: Debating Ron Thornburgh (HAVA) on Electronic Voting

Presentations: Elections Can be Stolen, Have been Stolen and Will Continue to be Stolen (video) * National Media Reform Conference: Stolen Elections and the need for Media Reform * American Statistical Association debate with Warren Mitofsky * American Association for Public Opinion Research: Deceptive Polling Practices * American Association for the Advancement of Science: Was the 2004 Election Stolen? 

Recent News: News outlets already dismissing their own exit polls * Not just a fringe issue: Bloomberg News: Voter Fraud, a Red Herring  * For more news, join the Google Discusion Group


Announcing the Election Verification Exit Poll

by Steven Freeman 10/5/2008 2:01:00 PM

On Tuesday November 4, 2008, Election Integrity, together with Election Defense Alliance and The Warren Poll, will be conducting its third Election Verification Exit Poll (EVEP).

Most of you reading this message are well aware of precipitous trends in America, and also that a key reason for why we're on the edge is the corruption of our electoral processes. But most Americans, and even many of you, still have no idea of the extent to which they are corrupted. Despite rude awakenings in several recent Novembers, the relentless fictions propounded by both major political parties, the media and other purported guardians of the system has lulled America back to into a stupor
. As a nation, we continue to view the spectacle of electoral politics from the grandstands where we cheer, root or boo while gorging on nutritionless calories. If all goes according to plan, we'll enjoy the show and then go to sleep entertained and addle-brained assuming all is, if not well, then at least as it must be.

But although the system is corrupt on every flank, an overwhelming majority of Americans still believe deeply in democracy and understand how election integrity underpins our rights and our future. By exposing corrupted processes and participating politically as opposed to simply spectating, we may yet assert influence and gain some control over the destiny of our country. Indeed, despite a battle of no money versus billions, we are making a difference. The term "election integrity" has entered the lexicon. Since December 2004, hundreds of groups loosely known as the election integrity movement have formed. We likely had a material impact in 2006 when, for the first time in many election cycles, fraud may well have been restrained. In states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, and California where our groups have been most active - egregious past results have not been repeated and/or proponents of election reform have won.
 
EVEPs hold perhaps the greatest promise for impact of any technique. The Bush administration has testified that they helped fund exit polls abroad because it is one of the only ways to expose large-scale fraud. Indeed, discrepancies between exit polls and the official results have been used to successfully overturn election results in Serbia, Peru, the Republic of Georgia and, in November 2004, Ukraine. 


In contrast to overseas exit polls, the US National Election Pool (NEP) media exit poll does not report actual survey results, but rather disingenuously legitimizes official numbers, massaging or torturing their own data as necessary to bring them in line. In 2004, we knew of the seven percentage point national discrepancy between how people said they voted and official numbers (11 percentage points in Ohio) only because of a technical glitch that prevented NEP from "correcting" results on election night. Such a mistake won't happen again as those with access to the data are to be - no joke! -quarantined without electronic or phone communication and subsequently sworn to secrecy.


EI, EDA and The Warren Poll are committed to complete transparency in our exit polls, with all methods and data fully shared. We conducted our first EVEP in two Pennsylvania congressional districts during the 2006 general election -- the US first EVEP ever. In this spring's Kentucky Democratic primary we
tested and codified our procedures.  


As with everything we do, our success is possible only with your
donations, volunteer contributions and your help spreading the word about our efforts.

 

Thanks for your help, Steve

 

 

 

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